Changes in the Global Geopolitical Landscape

Global conflicts intensify humanitarian disasters, and civilians are trapped in survival crises

Since 2020, armed conflicts have erupted in at least 27 regions worldwide. The war in eastern Ukraine continued to drag on, and more than 14 million civilians were displaced, accounting for one third of the country's population; In the new round of Israeli Palestinian conflict in October 2023, 85% of the population in the Gaza Strip is facing food shortages.

According to UNICEF data, 2.3 million children under the age of five suffer from severe malnutrition, with an average of one child dying from preventable diseases every 10 minutes.

  • Food blockade leads to famine

  • Deviation from hometown

  • Refugees have no guarantee of survival

  • The collapse of the humanitarian rescue system

Chain impact of regional conflicts

The civil war in Yemen has lasted for nine years, and the United Nations Children's Fund (UNICEF) has confirmed that 90% of children in the country lack basic nutrition, and 70% of medical facilities are closed due to funding shortages. Sudan has been embroiled in a power struggle since April 2023, with 80% of the capital Khartoum experiencing water shortages and armed groups hijacking 230 granaries, resulting in extreme cases of "grass for food" famine in Western Darfur. The conflict in Rakhine State, Myanmar has forced 120000 Rohingya people to flee to Bangladesh again. The per capita living space in Cox's Bazar refugee camps is less than 2 square meters, and the cholera infection rate has increased by 8 times compared to 2022.

The dual collapse of global eonomy and ecology

The damage caused by war to the global supply chain far exceeds expectations. The interruption of the Black Sea Food Agreement has led to a 35% increase in food import prices for 43 countries, and over 28 million people in the Horn of Africa rely on UN relief food for survival. The Euphrates River in Syria has suffered severe pollution due to bombing of oil refineries, with heavy metal content in coastal farmland exceeding 47 times the standard, and 300000 farmers losing their livelihoods. The United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) has detected 115 areas of soil radiation anomalies on the Ukrainian battlefield, with tank fuel leaks and unexploded ordnance rendering 160000 hectares of land uncultivated for a hundred years.

The humanitarian rescue system is on the brink of collapse

According to the data of the United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA), the world will need US $41.2 billion in aid funds in 2024, but only 29% of them will be available by May. 89% of aid projects in Yemen have been suspended due to funding gaps, and food rationing in South Sudan has been reduced to 800 calories per day (only 40% of the minimum survival standard). UN Secretary General Guterres stated at an emergency meeting of the Security Council, "International humanitarian law has been pierced by weapon fragments. When hospital coordinates become targets of attack and wells are deliberately contaminated, humanity is burying its own civilization bottom line with its own hands

Future warning

The World Bank assessment shows that conflict affected countries need at least 20 years to recover to pre war economic levels, and the psychological trauma of a generation of 'war children' will have a more profound impact. The latest map by the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees shows that one in every 77 people worldwide is forced to flee their homes - a statistic once used as a warning but now a norm for humanity.